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Özgün Başlık
Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Employment, Exchange Rate and Oil Price : a U.s. State-Level Time Series Analysis

Yazarlar
Bradley T. Ewing

Dergi Adı
Abant İzzet Baysal Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi

Cilt
Bahar 2009, Cilt 5, Sayı 1, ss. 1-22

Anahtar Kelimeler
Manufacturing and Non-manufacturing ; Employment ; Economics

Özet
This paper investigates the time series properties of U.S. state-level manufacturing and non-manufacturing employment and two economy-wide variables : real effective exchange rate and real oil price. Examining the 1990 to 2005 period, cointegration tests and error-correction models reveal a long run relationship between manufacturing employment and the exchange rate in eleven states, while no evidence of this relationship between non-manufacturing employment and the exchange rate was detected. Additionally, in the vast majority of states, both manufacturing and non-manufacturing employment appear to have a long-run equilibrium relationship with the real price of oil.